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Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2012 (Göttingen): Neue Wege und Herausforderungen für den Arbeitsmarkt des 21. Jh. >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/62030
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| Title: | | Rational Expectations Models with Anticipated Shocks and Optimal Policy  |
| Authors: | | Winkler, Roland Wohltmann, Hans-Werner |
| Issue Date: | | 2012 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2012: Neue Wege und Herausforderungen für den Arbeitsmarkt des 21. Jahrhunderts - Session: Information and the Macroeconomy C18-V3 |
| Abstract: | | This paper investigates optimal policy in the presence of anticipated (or news) shocks. We determine the optimal unrestricted and restricted policy response in a general rational expectations model and show that, if shocks are news shocks, the optimal unrestricted control rule under commitment contains a forward-looking element. As an example, we lay out a micro-founded hybrid New Keynesian model and show i) that anticipated cost-push shocks entail higher welfare losses than unanticipated shocks of equal size and ii) that the inclusion of forward-looking elements enhances distinctly the performance of simple optimized interest rate rules. |
| JEL: | | E52 E32 C61 |
| Document Type: | | Conference Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2012 (Göttingen): Neue Wege und Herausforderungen für den Arbeitsmarkt des 21. Jh.
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