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Title:Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions: Facts and theory PDF Logo
Authors:Burda, Michael C.
Härdle, Wolfgang
Müller, Marlene
Werwatz, Axel
Issue Date:1997
Series/Report no.:Discussion Papers, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes 1998,3
Abstract:East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 90s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyze the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear Model (GLM) yields nonlinear residual behavior. This finding is not compatible with classical Marshallian theory of migration and motivates the semiparametric analysis. We estimate a Generalized Partial Linear Model (GPLM) where some components of the index of explanatory variables enter nonparametrically. We find the estimate of the nonparametric inuence in concordance with a number of alternative migration theories, including the recently proposed option-value-of-waiting theory.
Persistent Identifier of the first edition:urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10056374
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:Discussion Papers, SFB 373, HU Berlin

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