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Discussion Papers, SFB 373, HU Berlin >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/61290
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| Title: | | Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions: Facts and theory  |
| Authors: | | Burda, Michael C. Härdle, Wolfgang Müller, Marlene Werwatz, Axel |
| Issue Date: | | 1997 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Discussion Papers, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes 1998,3 |
| Abstract: | | East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 90s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyze the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear Model (GLM) yields nonlinear residual behavior. This finding is not compatible with classical Marshallian theory of migration and motivates the semiparametric analysis. We estimate a Generalized Partial Linear Model (GPLM) where some components of the index of explanatory variables enter nonparametrically. We find the estimate of the nonparametric inuence in concordance with a number of alternative migration theories, including the recently proposed option-value-of-waiting theory. |
| Persistent Identifier of the first edition: | | urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10056374 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | Discussion Papers, SFB 373, HU Berlin
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