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dc.contributor.authorBöckers, Veiten_US
dc.contributor.authorHeimeshoff,Ulrichen_US
dc.contributor.authorMüller, Andreaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-13en_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-15T13:49:33Z-
dc.date.available2012-06-15T13:49:33Z-
dc.date.issued2012en_US
dc.identifier.isbn978-3-86304-055-0en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/59001-
dc.description.abstractThe focus of this paper is the empirical evaluation of the German Accelerated Vehicle Retirement program, that was implemented in January 2009 to stimulate automobile consumption. To adress this question a monthly dataset of new car registrations owned by private consumers from March 2001 until October 2011 is created. Especially small and upper small car segments seem to have profited from the scrappage program as they make up 84% of the newly registered cars during the program. Using uni- and multivariate time-series models counterfactual car registrations are estimated for vehicles from the small and upper small car segment. The results suggest that the policy has been successful in creating additional demand for new cars during the policy period. We also find a small contraction in the year after the end of the policy for the small market segment. For upper small cars the pull-forward effect could only be identified for the last quarter of the ex-post period. So in summary, the overall effect of the German car scrappage program is positive for the two market segments.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherDICE Düsseldorfen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDICE Discussion Paper 56en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.stwKraftfahrzeugen_US
dc.subject.stwSchrotten_US
dc.subject.stwSubventionen_US
dc.subject.stwWirkungsanalyseen_US
dc.subject.stwPersonenkraftwagenen_US
dc.subject.stwNachfrageen_US
dc.subject.stwMarktsegmentierungen_US
dc.subject.stwDeutschlanden_US
dc.titlePull-forward effects in the German car scrappage scheme: A time series approachen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn717563790en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen_US
dc.identifier.repecRePEc:zbw:dicedp:56-
Appears in Collections:DICE Discussion Paper, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE)

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