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Title:Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model with inventories PDF Logo
Authors:Foerster, Marcel
Issue Date:2011
Series/Report no.:Joint discussion paper series in economics 23-2011
Abstract:This paper introduces inventories in an otherwise standard Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE) of the business cycle. Firms accumulate inventories to facilitate sales, but face a cost of doing so in terms of costly storage of intermediate goods. The paper's main contribution is to present a DSGE model with inventories that is estimated using Bayesian methods. Based on US data we show that accounting for inventory dynamics has a significant impact on parameter estimates and impulse responses. Our analysis also reveals that the contribution of structural shocks to variations in the observable variables changes significantly when we allow for inventories. Moreover, we find that inventories enter the Phillips curve as an additional and significant driving variable of inflation and make the inflation process less backward-looking.
Bayesian estimation
DSGE model
business cycles
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Universität Marburg

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