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dc.contributor.authorBerlemann, Michaelen_US
dc.contributor.authorEnkelmann, Sörenen_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-21en_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-29T09:24:30Z-
dc.date.available2012-03-29T09:24:30Z-
dc.date.issued2012en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/56388-
dc.description.abstractEven after four decades of research it remains unclear, whether presidential popularity depends on the state of the economy. While about half of all studies for the United States find a significant effect of unemployment and inflation on presidential popularity, the others do not. Additional economic issues have rarely been studied. In this survey article we study the likely causes for the inconclusive findings. While various factors have an influence on the results, especially the choice of the sample period is of crucial importance. While in the very long run we find unemployment, inflation and the budget deficit to have a robust effect on presidential approval, this holds not true for shorter sub-periods. This result might indicate that the popularity function is instable over time. However, the findings might also be taken as an indication that the most often employed linear estimation approach is inadequate. Further research on these issues is necessary.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherCESifo Münchenen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesCESifo working paper: Public Choice 3761en_US
dc.subject.jelD72en_US
dc.subject.jelH11en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordpresidential popularityen_US
dc.subject.keywordapprovalen_US
dc.subject.keywordunemploymenten_US
dc.subject.keywordinflationen_US
dc.subject.stwStaatsoberhaupten_US
dc.subject.stwÖffentliche Meinungen_US
dc.subject.stwWirtschaftslageen_US
dc.subject.stwArbeitslosigkeiten_US
dc.subject.stwInflationen_US
dc.subject.stwUSAen_US
dc.titleThe economic determinants of U.S. presidential approval: A surveyen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn688923801en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen_US
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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