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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/56381
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| Title: | | External drivers of institutional change in Central Asia: Regional integration schemes and the role of Russia and China  |
| Authors: | | Schweickert, Rainer Melnykovska, Inna Plamper, Hedwig |
| Issue Date: | | 2012 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Kiel Working Papers 1763 |
| Abstract: | | Russia and China are assumed to challenge democratization and to promote autocracy. In a first step, we analyze Central Asia as the most-likely case, considering both Russia and China as relevant external actors. We develop a concept for our analysis based on the different strategies of Russia (dominance) and China (doing-business) towards the region and present the results of a qualitative study of the main dimensions of autocracy promotion with respect to regional and bilateral schemes. In a second step, we extend a previous framework (Melnykovska and Schweickert 2011) and provide econometric evidence based on a panel of post-socialist countries. We show that bilateral schems are (still) more relevant for external influences in Central Asia and that (unintentionally) China's doing-business approach may in fact promote institutional change. Arguably, democratization should not be a precondition for cooperation as in European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) but rather be promoted by sweeping economic cooperation incentives. |
| Subjects: | | Central Asia China Russia governance regional integration trade minorities military threat |
| JEL: | | F53 F59 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | Publikationen von Forscherinnen und Forschern des IfW Economists Online Kieler Arbeitspapiere, IfW
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