Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/55879 
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 3747
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We examine environmental factors as potential determinants of international migration. We distinguish between unexpected short-run factors, captured by natural disasters, as well as long-run climate change and climate variability. Building on a simple neo-classical model we use a panel dataset of bilateral migration flows for the period 1960-2000, the time and dyadic dimensions of which additionally allow us to control for numerous time-varying and time invariant factors. As a whole, we find little direct impact of climatic change on international migration in the medium to long run across our entire sample. Using the rate of urbanization as a proxy for internal migration we find strong evidence that natural disasters beget greater flows of migrants to urban environs.
Subjects: 
international migration
climate change
natural disasters
income maximization
JEL: 
F22
O15
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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