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Title:Econometric studies of business cycles in the history of econometrics PDF Logo
Authors:Qin, Duo
Issue Date:2010
Series/Report no.:Working Paper // School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary, University of London 669
Abstract:This study examines the evolution of econometric research in business cycle analysis during the 1960-90 period. It shows how the research was dominated by an assimilation of the tradition of NBER business cycle analysis by the Haavelmo-Cowles Commission approach, catalysed by time-series statistical methods. Methodological consequences of the assimilation are critically evaluated in light of the meagre achievement of the research in predicting the current global recession.
Subjects:business cycles
NBER
forecasting
JEL:B23
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:Working Paper Series, School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary, University of London

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