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Working Paper Series, School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary, University of London >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/55194
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| Title: | | Econometric studies of business cycles in the history of econometrics  |
| Authors: | | Qin, Duo |
| Issue Date: | | 2010 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Working Paper // School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary, University of London 669 |
| Abstract: | | This study examines the evolution of econometric research in business cycle analysis during the 1960-90 period. It shows how the research was dominated by an assimilation of the tradition of NBER business cycle analysis by the Haavelmo-Cowles Commission approach, catalysed by time-series statistical methods. Methodological consequences of the assimilation are critically evaluated in light of the meagre achievement of the research in predicting the current global recession. |
| Subjects: | | business cycles NBER forecasting |
| JEL: | | B23 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | Working Paper Series, School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary, University of London
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