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dc.contributor.authorArndt, Channingen_US
dc.contributor.authorFarmer, Willen_US
dc.contributor.authorStrzepek, Kenen_US
dc.contributor.authorThurlow, Jamesen_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-09-12en_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-12-15T13:20:14Z-
dc.date.available2011-12-15T13:20:14Z-
dc.date.issued2011en_US
dc.identifier.isbn978-92-9230-419-5en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/54175-
dc.description.abstractThe consequences of climate change for agriculture and food security in developing countries are of serious concern. Due to their reliance on rain-fed agriculture both as a source of income and consumption, many low-income countries are generally considered to be most vulnerable to climate change. Here, we estimate the impact of climate change on food security in Tanzania. Representative climate projections are used in calibrated crop models to predict crop yield changes for 110 districts in Tanzania. These results are in turn imposed on a highly-disaggregated, dynamic economy-wide model of Tanzania. We find that, relative to a no climate change baseline and considering domestic agricultural production as the principal channel of impact, food security in Tanzania appears likely to deteriorate as a consequence of climate change. The analysis points to a high degree of diversity of outcomes (including some favourable outcomes) across climate scenarios, sectors, and regions. The economic modelling indicates that markets have the potential to smooth outcomes on households across regions and income groups, though noteworthy differences in impacts across households persist both by region and by income category.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherWIDER Helsinkien_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesWorking paper // World Institute for Development Economics Research 2011,52en_US
dc.subject.jelQ1en_US
dc.subject.jelQ54en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordclimate changeen_US
dc.subject.keywordagricultureen_US
dc.subject.keywordfood securityen_US
dc.subject.keywordcrop modelen_US
dc.subject.keywordCGE modelen_US
dc.subject.keywordTanzaniaen_US
dc.subject.stwKlimaveränderungen_US
dc.subject.stwAgrarproduktionen_US
dc.subject.stwNahrungsmittelversorgungen_US
dc.subject.stwCGE-Modellingen_US
dc.subject.stwTansaniaen_US
dc.titleClimate change, agriculture, and food security in Tanzaniaen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn668114312en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen_US
Appears in Collections:WIDER Working Papers, United Nations University (UNU)

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