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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/53889
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| Title: | | Price discovery in Canadian Government bond futures and spot markets  |
| Authors: | | Chung, Christopher Campbell, Bryan Hendry, Scott |
| Issue Date: | | 2007 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Bank of Canada Working Paper 2007,4 |
| Abstract: | | In this paper we look at the relative information content of cash and futures prices for Canadian Government bonds. We follow the information-share approaches introduced by Hasbrouck (1995) and Harris et al (1995), applying the techniques in Gonzalo-Granger (1995), to evaluate the relative contributions of trading in the cash and futures markets to the price discovery process. Both approaches estimate a vector error correction model that permits the separation of long-run price movements from short-run market microstructure effects. As well, we follow Yan and Zivot (2004) who introduce size measures of a market's adjustment to a new equilibrium during the price discovery process. We find that, on an average day, just over 70% of price discovery occurs on the futures market where bid-ask spreads are lower and trading activity is higher. The size of the responses to shocks and the time taken to adjust to a new equilibrium are found to be significantly larger for the cash market. |
| Subjects: | | Financial markets Market structure and pricing |
| JEL: | | G12 G13 G14 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | Bank of Canada Working Papers
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