Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/53862 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2008
Series/Report no.: 
Bank of Canada Working Paper No. 2008-29
Publisher: 
Bank of Canada, Ottawa
Abstract: 
We investigate the macroeconomic determinants of corporate spreads using a no-arbitrage technique. Structural shocks are identified by a New-Keynesian model. Treasury bonds are priced in an affine model with time-varying risk premia. Corporate bonds are priced in a reduced-form credit risk model where default risk depends on macroeconomic state variables. Using U.S. data, we find that the monetary policy shock contributes to more than 50% the corporate spread variations at different forecasting horizons. Its contribution, in general, declines with credit classes. In contrast, the aggregate supply and demand shocks contribute more to the spread variations in low credit classes than in high credit classes. In addition, they in general contribute more for longer forecasting horizons.
Subjects: 
Debt management
Financial markets
Interest rates
JEL: 
E43
E44
G12
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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