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Title:Kyoto and carbon leakage: An empirical analysis of the carbon content of bilateral trade PDF Logo
Authors:Aichele, Rahel
Felbermayr, Gabriel J.
Issue Date:2011
Series/Report no.:CESifo working paper: Resource and Environment Economics 3661
Abstract:Has the Kyoto Protocol induced carbon leakage? We conduct the first empirical ex-post evaluation of the Protocol. We derive a theoretical gravity equation for the CO2 content of trade, which accounts for intermediate inputs, both domestic and imported. The structure of our new panel database of the carbon content of sectoral bilateral trade flows allows controlling for the endogenous selection of countries into the Kyoto Protocol. Binding commitments under Kyoto have increased committed countries' embodied carbon imports from non-committed countries by around 8% and the emission intensity of their imports by about 3%. Hence, Kyoto has indeed led to leakage.
Subjects:carbon leakage
CO2 content of trade
gravity equation
Kyoto Protocol
JEL:F18
Q54
Q56
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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