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Title:Revisiting the resource-conflict link: A systematic comparative test of causal mechanisms in four major oil-exporting countries PDF Logo
Authors:Basedau, Matthias
Mähler, Annegret
Shabafrouz, Miriam
Issue Date:2011
Series/Report no.:GIGA working papers 175
Abstract:Causal mechanisms and related contextual variables are crucial to the study of the resource-conflict link, but little systematic research has been done on their exact functioning. This paper contributes to the filling of this gap by comparing four major oil exporters (Algeria, Iran, Nigeria, and Venezuela) with differing levels of internal violence. To capture the causal complexity of the resource-conflict link we created a questionnaire with some 150 variables that distinguish between resource-specific (RS) and non-resource specific (NRS) conditions. The causal mechanisms are measured by assigning pertinent RS and NRS indicators to them. Our results suggest that the role of resources may be less prominent than is widely assumed. Only three resource-related causal mechanisms provide limited explanatory value (motive at subnational level, indirect economic, and institutional mechanism) by distinguishing Venezuela-the most peaceful case-from all the others. Only a mixed mechanism that combines 13 RS and NRS (economic and geographic characteristics, identity, intergroup relations, as well as political and institutional variables, including elite behavior) conditions can explain the differences between the countries with regard to the dependent variable comprehensively.
Subjects:oil
violent conflict
causal mechanism
resource curse
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:Publikationen von Forscherinnen und Forschern des GIGA
GIGA Working Papers

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