|
EconStor >
Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule (ETH) Zürich >
KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle, ETH Zürich >
KOF Working Papers, KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle, ETH Zürich >
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10419/50875
|
| | |
| Title: | | The impact of ECB communication on financial market expectations  |
| Authors: | | Lamla, Michael J. Rupprecht, Sarah M. |
| Issue Date: | | 2006 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Arbeitspapiere // Konjunkturforschungsstelle, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich 135 |
| Abstract: | | This paper analyzes European financial markets' comprehension and interpretation of ECB communication signals. By applying a novel indicator developed by Berger et al. (2006), that quantifies the contents of the ECB's introductory statements, we find that communication affects the term structure of interest rates in the medium run over a horizon between five months to one year. Our results suggest that financial market agents expect the ECB to prepare them for a change in interest rates well in advance. However, judging upon the dynamics of the response, the exact timing of a decision is less foreseeable. Disentangling the effects of ECB statements on prices, the real and the monetary sector, we provide evidence that especially the ECB's interpretation and forecasts of price developments represent important news to financial market agents. |
| Subjects: | | Central Bank Communication Expectations Term Structure of Interest Rates Yield Curve ECB |
| JEL: | | E43 E44 E58 |
| Persistent Identifier of the first edition: | | doi:10.3929/ethz-a-005187503 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | KOF Working Papers, KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle, ETH Zürich
|
| |
| | |
Download bibliographical data as:
BibTeX
|
| |
Share on:http://hdl.handle.net/10419/50875
|
Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.
|