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Title:Oil prices and the Swiss economy PDF Logo
Authors:Atukeren, Erdal
Issue Date:2003
Series/Report no.:Arbeitspapiere // Konjunkturforschungsstelle, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich 77
Abstract:This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of an oil price shock in a small open industrial economy without oil resources, namely, Switzerland. First, we test whether oil price shocks Granger-cause Swiss macroeconomic variables, and use a medium-scale macroeconometric model to track the effects of an oil price shock. Our estimates show that large increases in oil prices lead to a rather small decline in Swiss real GDP. Furthermore, there is no permanent pass-through effect via core inflation. Oil price shocks also adversely affect Swiss exports, but imports also shrink and lessen the overall impact on real GDP growth.
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:KOF Working Papers, KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle, ETH Zürich

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