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Title:Are GDP revisions predictable? Evidence for Switzerland PDF Logo
Authors:Siliverstovs, Boriss
Issue Date:2011
Series/Report no.:KOF working papers // KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich 281
Abstract:This study presents a model that delivers more accurate forecasts of the revised rather initial estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings is that our model, capitalizing on the information contained in the Business Tendency Surveys, is able to predict future revisions of the initial estimates. Our findings imply that there seems to be a scope for improvement of how preliminary estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland.
Subjects:GDP revisions
mixed-frequency data
factor model
Persistent Identifier of the first edition:doi:10.3929/ethz-a-006499473
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:KOF Working Papers, KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle, ETH Zürich

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