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dc.contributor.authorLahiri, Kajalen_US
dc.contributor.authorYao, Wenxiongen_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-06-10en_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-06-29T11:21:27Z-
dc.date.available2011-06-29T11:21:27Z-
dc.date.issued2011en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/46566-
dc.description.abstractWith the increasing importance of the service-providing sectors, information from these sectors has become essential to the understanding of contemporary business cycles. This paper explores the usefulness of the transportation services output index (TSI) as an additional coincident indicator in determining the peaks and troughs of U.S. economy. The index represents a service sector that plays a central role in facilitating economic activities between sectors and across regions, and can be useful in monitoring the current state of the economy. We evaluate the marginal contribution of the TSI in identifying cyclical turning points in the context of four currently used NBER indicators. The TSI is found to have advantages over the composite index of coincident indicators in identifying turning points, and has been of critical importance in recent recessions.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherCESifo Münchenen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesCESifo working paper: Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth 3477en_US
dc.subject.jelE32en_US
dc.subject.jelC10en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordtransportation services index (TSI)en_US
dc.subject.keywordbusiness cyclesen_US
dc.subject.keywordcoincident indicatorsen_US
dc.subject.stwSpeditionen_US
dc.subject.stwLogistikunternehmenen_US
dc.subject.stwKonjunkturindikatoren_US
dc.subject.stwKonjunkturprognoseen_US
dc.subject.stwPrognoseverfahrenen_US
dc.subject.stwUSAen_US
dc.titleShould transportation output be included as part of the coincident indicators system?en_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn661913848en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen_US
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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