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ifo Institut – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München >
CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/46482
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| Title: | | The effect of investment in children's education on fertility in 1816 Prussia  |
| Authors: | | Becker, Sascha O. Cinnirella, Francesco Woessmann, Ludger |
| Issue Date: | | 2010 |
| Series/Report no.: | | CESifo working paper: Economics of Education 3252 |
| Abstract: | | The interaction between investment in children's education and parental fertility is crucial in recent theories of the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern economic growth. This paper contributes to the literature on the child quantity-quality trade-off with new county-level evidence for Prussia in 1816, several decades before the demographic transition. We find a significant negative causal effect of education on fertility, which is robust to accounting for spatial autocorrelation. The causal effect of education is identified through exogenous variation in enrollment rates due to differences in landownership inequality. A comparison with estimates for 1849 suggests that the preference for quality relative to quantity might have increased during the first half of the nineteenth century. |
| Subjects: | | education fertility quantity-quality trade-off unified growth theory 19th century Prussia |
| JEL: | | N33 I20 J13 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich
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