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Title:The effect of investment in children's education on fertility in 1816 Prussia PDF Logo
Authors:Becker, Sascha O.
Cinnirella, Francesco
Woessmann, Ludger
Issue Date:2010
Series/Report no.:CESifo working paper: Economics of Education 3252
Abstract:The interaction between investment in children's education and parental fertility is crucial in recent theories of the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern economic growth. This paper contributes to the literature on the child quantity-quality trade-off with new county-level evidence for Prussia in 1816, several decades before the demographic transition. We find a significant negative causal effect of education on fertility, which is robust to accounting for spatial autocorrelation. The causal effect of education is identified through exogenous variation in enrollment rates due to differences in landownership inequality. A comparison with estimates for 1849 suggests that the preference for quality relative to quantity might have increased during the first half of the nineteenth century.
Subjects:education
fertility
quantity-quality trade-off
unified growth theory
19th century
Prussia
JEL:N33
I20
J13
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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