Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/46107
Authors: 
Carneiro, Pedro
Heckman, James J.
Vytlacil, Edward
Year of Publication: 
2010
Series/Report no.: 
Discussion paper series // Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 5275
Abstract: 
This paper estimates the marginal returns to college for individuals induced to enroll in college by different marginal policy changes. The recent instrumental variables literature seeks to estimate this parameter, but in general it does so only under strong assumptions that are tested and found wanting. We show how to utilize economic theory and local instrumental variables estimators to estimate the effect of marginal policy changes. Our empirical analysis shows that returns are higher for individuals more likely to attend college. We contrast the returns to well-defined marginal policy changes with IV estimates of the return to schooling. Some marginal policy changes inducing students into college produce very low returns.
Subjects: 
returns to schooling
marginal return
average return
marginal treatment effect
JEL: 
J31
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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