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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/45137
  

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dc.contributor.authorRoland-Holst, Daviden_US
dc.contributor.authorVerbiest, Jean-Pierreen_US
dc.contributor.authorZhai, Fanen_US
dc.date.accessioned2010-02-17en_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-04-26T07:42:12Z-
dc.date.available2011-04-26T07:42:12Z-
dc.date.issued2008en_US
dc.identifier.isbn978-92-9230-162-0en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/45137-
dc.description.abstractEconomic emergence of the People's Republic of China (PRC) and India has fundamentally altered the economic landscape of Asia and its relation to the global economy. Using the new dynamic global model, we present forecasts for Asian expansion over 2025. These baseline growth forecasts elucidate shifting patterns of regional specialization and their consequences for growth and structural change in the Asian economies. The central role of trade is examined through analysis of a variety of hypothetical global and regional trade agreements. Our results indicate that trade within the Asian region is far from reaching its potential, and policies that facilitate integration and more efficient regional trade can accelerate growth, especially for lower-income Asia. A deeper and more inclusive Asian free trade area can achieve for its members large benefits. As an emerging growth bridge between the PRC and India, ASEAN economies have the most to gain from Asian economic integration.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherUNU-WIDER Helsinkien_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesResearch paper / UNU-WIDER 2008.106en_US
dc.subject.jelF02en_US
dc.subject.jelN15en_US
dc.subject.jelO53en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordglobalizationen_US
dc.subject.keywordintegrationen_US
dc.subject.keywordAsiaen_US
dc.subject.stwAußenwirtschaften_US
dc.subject.stwWirtschaftswachstumen_US
dc.subject.stwWirtschaftsintegrationen_US
dc.subject.stwPrognoseen_US
dc.subject.stwAsienen_US
dc.titleGrowth and trade horizons for Asia: Long term forecasts for regional integrationen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn589768182en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen_US
Appears in Collections:WIDER Research Papers, United Nations University (UNU)

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