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Title:Long-horizon consumption risk and the cross-section of returns: New tests and international evidence PDF Logo
Authors:Grammig, Joachim G.
Schrimpf, Andreas
Schuppli, Michael
Issue Date:2009
Series/Report no.:CFR working paper 09-02
Abstract:This paper investigates whether measuring consumption risk over long horizons can improve the empirical performance of the Consumption CAPM for size and value premia in international stock markets (US, UK, and Germany). In order to account for commonalities in size and book-tomarket sorted portfolios, we also include industry portfolios in our set of test assets. Our results show that, contrary to the findings of Parker and Julliard (2005), the model falls short of providing an accurate description of the cross-section of returns under our modified empirical approach. At the same time, however, measuring consumption risk over longer horizons typically yields lower risk-aversion estimates. Thus, our results suggest that more plausible parameter estimates - as opposed to lower pricing errors - can be regarded as the main achievement of the long-horizon Consumption CAPM.
Subjects:Consumption-based Asset Pricing
Long-Run Consumption Risk
Value Puzzle
International Stock Markets
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CFR Working Papers, Centre for Financial Research (CFR), Universität Köln

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