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Title:Stability issues in German money multiplier forecasts PDF Logo
Authors:Polster, Rainer
Gottschling, Andreas
Issue Date:1999
Series/Report no.:Research notes in economics & statistics 99-8
Abstract:This paper investigates the stability of the German money supply focusing on the period 1991 - 1998. It is shown that the standard ARIMA-Transfer model approach in the literature needs to be augmented by a cointegration term to adequately model the dynamics of money supply in Germany. Additional analysis with regard to the influence of financial innovations on the control of money supply yields evidence that the influence of financial innovations on the multiplier has increased steadily during the observation period.
Subjects:Money Supply
Financial Innovation
Forecasting Money Multiplier
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:Research Notes, Deutsche Bank Research

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