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Title:Estimating incentive and welfare effects of non-stationary unemployment benefits PDF Logo
Authors:Launov, Andrey
Wälde, Klaus
Issue Date:2010
Series/Report no.:CESifo working paper Labour Markets 3069
Abstract:The distribution of unemployment duration in our equilibrium matching model with spell-dependent unemployment benefits displays a time-varying exit rate. Building on Semi-Markov processes, we translate these exit rates into an expression for the aggregate unemployment rate. Structural estimation using a German micro-data set (SOEP) allows us to discuss the effects of a recent unemployment benefit reform (Hartz IV). The reform reduced unemployment by only 0.3%. Contrary to general beliefs, we find that both employed and unemployed workers gain (the latter from an intertemporal perspective). The reason is the rise in the net wage caused by more vacancies per unemployed worker.
Subjects:non-stationary unemployment benefits
endogenous effort
matching model
structural estimation
Semi-Markov process
JEL:E24
J64
J68
C13
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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