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Title:Foreign Aid and Its Effect on Per-Capita Income (Growth) in Recipient Countries: Pitfalls and Findings from a Time Series Perspective PDF Logo
Authors:Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas
Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada
Herzer, Dierk
Klasen, Stephan
Dreher, Axel
Issue Date:2010
Series/Report no.:Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2010: Ökonomie der Familie - Session: Effectiveness of Foreign Aid B19-V1
Abstract:In this paper we investigate the effectiveness of development aid in recipient countries. Specifically, we analyze the relationship between per-capita income and foreign aid for a maximum of 131 recipient countries over the 1960 to 2006 period. We employ annual data and 5-year averages and, contrary to the previous literature, carefully examine the time-series properties of the data. The previous literature overlooks the non-existence of a long-run relationship between aid and growth and the presence of autocorrelated error terms. To address those problems, we apply panel time-series techniques (panel unit-root tests, panel cointegration tests, and panel dynamic feasible generalized least-squares estimation [DFGLS]). Estimations with DFGLS show that aid has an insignificant or minute negative significant impact on per-capita income. This holds for countries with both above- and below-average aid-to-GDP ratios, for different levels of human development, different income levels and different regions of the world. We also find that aid has a significantly positive (although small) impact on investment, but a significant negative impact on domestic savings (crowding out) and the real exchange rate (appreciation).
Subjects:Foreign aid
real per-capita income
panel time-series techniques
dynamic feasible generalized linear least squares (DFGLS)
Document Type:Conference Paper
Appears in Collections:Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2010: Ökonomie der Familie

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