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Title:Crime, unemployment, and xenophobia? An ecological analysis of right-wing election results in Hamburg, 1986-2005 PDF Logo
Authors:Rotte, Ralph
Steininger, Martin
Issue Date:2008
Series/Report no.:IZA discussion papers 3779
Abstract:This paper investigates the consequences of immigration, crime and socio-economic depriviation for the performance of right-wing extremist and populist parties in the German city state of Hamburg between 1986 and 2005. The ecological determinants of voting for right-wing parties on the district level are compared to those for mainstream and other protest parties. Parallels and differences in spatial characteristics between right-wing extremist and populist parties' performance are identified. Our empirical results tend to confirm the general contextual sociological theory of right-wing radicalization by general social deprivation and immigration. Nevertheless they indicate that one has to be very cautious when interpreting the unemployment/crime - right-winger nexus. Moreover, crime does not seem to have a strong significant effect on right-wing populist parties' election successes despite its importance for their programmes and campaigns.
Subjects:Elections
political extremism
labor market policy
welfare policy
immigration
JEL:D60
Persistent Identifier of the first edition:urn:nbn:de:101:1-20081126388
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:IZA Discussion Papers, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA)

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