Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/34743 
Year of Publication: 
2007
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 3165
Publisher: 
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
When treatment effects of active labour market programmes are heterogeneous in an observable way across the population, the allocation of the unemployed into different programmes becomes a particularly important issue. In this paper, we present a statistical model designed to improve the present assignment mechanism, which is based on the discretionary choice of case workers. This is done in a duration model context, using the timing-of-events framework to identify causal effects. We compare different assignment mechanisms, and the results suggest that a significant reduction in the average duration of unemployment spells may result if a statistical programme assignment model is introduced. We discuss several issues regarding the implementation of such a system, especially the interplay between the statistical model and case workers.
Subjects: 
Profiling
targeting
statistical treatment rules
heterogeneous effects
JEL: 
J64
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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