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dc.contributor.authorCalzadilla, Alvaroen_US
dc.contributor.authorRehdanz, Katrinen_US
dc.contributor.authorBetts, Richarden_US
dc.contributor.authorFalloon, Peteen_US
dc.contributor.authorWiltshire, Andyen_US
dc.contributor.authorTol, Richard S. J.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2010-05-07en_US
dc.date.accessioned2010-05-20T14:02:46Z-
dc.date.available2010-05-20T14:02:46Z-
dc.date.issued2010en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/32519-
dc.description.abstractBased on predicted changes in the magnitude and distribution of global precipitation, temperature and river flow under the IPCC SRES A1B and A2 scenarios, this study assesses the potential impacts of climate change and CO2 fertilization on global agriculture. The analysis uses the new version of the GTAP-W model, which distinguishes between rainfed and irrigated agriculture and implements water as an explicit factor of production for irrigated agriculture. The results suggest that a partial analysis of the main factors through which climate change will affect agricultural productivity lead to different outcomes. Our results show that global food production, welfare and GDP fall in the two time periods and SRES scenarios. Higher food prices are expected. Independently of the SRES scenario, expected losses in welfare are marked in the long term. They are larger under the SRES A2 scenario for the 2020s and under the SRES A1B scenario for the 2050s. The results show that countries are not only influenced by regional climate change, but also by climate-induced changes in competitiveness.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherKiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kielen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesKiel working paper 1617en_US
dc.subject.jelD58en_US
dc.subject.jelQ54en_US
dc.subject.jelQ17en_US
dc.subject.jelQ25en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordComputable General Equilibriumen_US
dc.subject.keywordClimate Changeen_US
dc.subject.keywordAgricultureen_US
dc.subject.keywordWater Resourcesen_US
dc.subject.stwKlimaveränderungen_US
dc.subject.stwPrognoseen_US
dc.subject.stwLandwirtschaften_US
dc.subject.stwProduktivitäten_US
dc.subject.stwWasserversorgungen_US
dc.subject.stwWohlfahrtseffekten_US
dc.subject.stwAllgemeines Gleichgewichten_US
dc.subject.stwMehr-Länder-Modellen_US
dc.subject.stwSimulationen_US
dc.subject.stwWelten_US
dc.titleClimate change impacts on global agricultureen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn625694627en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
Appears in Collections:Publikationen von Forscherinnen und Forschern des IfW
Kieler Arbeitspapiere, IfW

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