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Title:The origins of terrorism cross-country estimates on socio-economic determinants of terrorism PDF Logo
Authors:Freytag, Andreas
Krüger, Jens J.
Meierrieks, Daniel
Schneider, Friedrich G.
Issue Date:2009
Series/Report no.:Jena economic research papers 2009,009
Abstract:To expand our knowledge about an appropriate anti-terror strategy, it is indispensable to assess the underlying causes of terror. We examine social and economic conditions in the country of origin of terrorist attacks, claiming that low opportunity costs of terror, e.g. approximated as slow growth and poor institutions raise the propensity of terror and the willingness in the population to support terror. Using a mixed effects Poisson regression model, we are able to show that unfortunate socio-economic conditions in a country are suitable to reduce the opportunity cost for potential terrorists and increase the likelihood of terrorist attacks originating from a specific country. Interestingly, this effect is relevant after a certain level of development has been reached. We therefore distinguish between the OECD, Europe and Islamic countries.
Subjects:Terror attacks
openness
discrete choice analysis
institutions
JEL:P16
F15
C25
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:Jena Economic Research Papers, MPI für Ökonomik

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