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dc.contributor.authorScheubel, Beatriceen_US
dc.contributor.authorSchunk, Danielen_US
dc.contributor.authorWinter, Joachimen_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-09-03en_US
dc.date.accessioned2010-05-14T08:18:14Z-
dc.date.available2010-05-14T08:18:14Z-
dc.date.issued2009en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/30417-
dc.description.abstractFor policy reforms to increase a society's welfare, reliable information on people's prefer-ences and expectations is crucial. Representative opinion polls, often involving simplified questions about the complex topics under debate, are an important source of information for both policy-makers and the public. Do people's answers to these poll questions reliably reflect their preferences and expectations, or does fundamental, undiscriminating opposition to reforms distort them? We address this question in the context of a recent German pension reform which raised the statutory retirement age by two years to age 67. By introducing an experiment into a representative household survey, we are able to disentangle expectations of work ability at retirement and fundamental opposition. Our results show that expected work ability declines substantially with increasing target age (63, 65, or 67 years). Answers from West German respondents reflect their current life situation as well as individual health and other risk factors. However, a fundamental opposition to reforms of the welfare state appears to strongly affect responses from East German households.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherCESifo Münchenen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesCESifo working paper 2752en_US
dc.subject.jelJ10en_US
dc.subject.jelH30en_US
dc.subject.jelH55en_US
dc.subject.jelD84en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordretirementen_US
dc.subject.keywordhealthen_US
dc.subject.keywordwork abilityen_US
dc.subject.keywordsurvey experimenten_US
dc.subject.keywordpublic opinion pollen_US
dc.subject.keywordPAYG pension systemen_US
dc.subject.keywordEast Germanyen_US
dc.subject.stwRentenreformen_US
dc.subject.stwAltersgrenzeen_US
dc.subject.stwErwerbsunfähigkeiten_US
dc.subject.stwMeinungen_US
dc.subject.stwVergleichen_US
dc.subject.stwAlte Bundesländeren_US
dc.subject.stwNeue Bundesländeren_US
dc.subject.stwDeutschlanden_US
dc.titleDon't raise the retirement age! : an experiment on opposition to pension reforms and East-West differences in Germanyen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn608169455en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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