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dc.contributor.authorSiliverstovs, Borissen_US
dc.contributor.authorÖtsch, Rainalden_US
dc.contributor.authorKemfert, Claudiaen_US
dc.contributor.authorJaeger, Carloen_US
dc.contributor.authorHaas, Arminen_US
dc.contributor.authorKremers, Hansen_US
dc.date.accessioned2008-12-16en_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-08-06T13:20:39Z-
dc.date.available2009-08-06T13:20:39Z-
dc.date.issued2008en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363-
dc.description.abstractThis study models maximum temperatures in Switzerland monitored in twelve locations using the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. The parameters of the GEV distribution are determined within a Bayesian framework. We find that the parameters of the underlying distribution underwent a substantial change in the beginning of the 1980s. This change is characterised by an increase both in the level and the variability. We assess the likelihood of a heat wave of the Summer of 2003 using the fitted GEV distribution by accounting for the presence of a structural break. The estimation results do suggest that the heat wave of 2003 appears not that statistically improbable event as it is generally accepted in the relevant literature.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlinen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDiscussion papers // German Institute for Economic Research 840en_US
dc.subject.jelQ54en_US
dc.subject.jelC11en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordClimate changeen_US
dc.subject.keywordGEVen_US
dc.subject.keywordBayesian modellingen_US
dc.subject.keywordGreat Alpine Heat Waveen_US
dc.subject.stwKlimaveränderungen_US
dc.subject.stwStatistische Verteilungen_US
dc.subject.stwExtremwertanalyseen_US
dc.subject.stwSchweizen_US
dc.titleClimate change and modelling of extreme temperatures in Switzerlanden_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn588034533en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
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