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Title:Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs? PDF Logo
Authors:Cockx, Bart Leo Wim
Picchio, Matteo
Issue Date:2008
Series/Report no.:CESifo working paper 2569
Abstract:This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
Subjects:Event history model
transition data
state dependence
short-lived jobs
stepping stone effect
long-lasting jobs
JEL:C15
C41
J62
J64
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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