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ifo Institut – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München >
CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/26614
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| Title: | | Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs?  |
| Authors: | | Cockx, Bart Leo Wim Picchio, Matteo |
| Issue Date: | | 2008 |
| Series/Report no.: | | CESifo working paper 2569 |
| Abstract: | | This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs. |
| Subjects: | | Event history model transition data state dependence short-lived jobs stepping stone effect long-lasting jobs |
| JEL: | | C15 C41 J62 J64 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich
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