ifo Institut – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München >
CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich >
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
| || |
|Title:||Heterogeneity in exchange rate expectations: evidence on the chartist-fundamentalist approach |
Rebitzky, Rafael R.
|Issue Date:||2008 |
|Series/Report no.:||CESifo working paper 2502|
|Abstract:||This paper examines heterogeneity in exchange rate expectations. Whereas agents' heterogeneity is key in modern exchange rate models, evidence on determinants of heterogeneity is weak so far. Our sample, covering expectations from about 300 forecasters over 15 years, shows remarkable time variation in dispersion. Determinants of dispersion are consistent with the chartist-fundamentalist approach: misalignments of the exchange rate and exchange rate changes explain heterogeneity. The risk premium influences heterogeneity as well, but possible impacts from macroeconomic variables and exchange rate's volatility are dominated by the other determinants.|
|Document Type:||Working Paper|
|Appears in Collections:||CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich|
Download bibliographical data as:
Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.