Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/25273
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dc.contributor.authorHanewald, Katjaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2008-05-08en_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-07-23T15:03:48Z-
dc.date.available2009-07-23T15:03:48Z-
dc.date.issued2008en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/25273-
dc.description.abstractThis article provides a comprehensive econometric analysis of factors driving aggregate mortality rates over time. It differs from previous studies in this field by simultaneously considering an extensive set of macroeconomic, socio-economic and ecological factors as explanatory variables. Germany is chosen as an indicative example for other industrialized countries due to its advanced demographic transition process. Our regression analysis, which covers the time interval 1956-2004, indicates that sex- and age-specific mortality rates vary substantially in their response to external factors. Strongest associations are found with changes in real GDP, flu epidemics and the two life style variables alcohol and cigarette consumption in both univariate and multivariate setups. Further analysis shows that these effects are primarily contemporary, while other indicators such as weather conditions exert lagged effects. By combining variables in a multivariate model the share of explained data volatility can be substantially increased.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisher|aSFB 649, Economic Risk|cBerlinen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aSFB 649 discussion paper|x2008,031en_US
dc.subject.jelI12en_US
dc.subject.jelJ11en_US
dc.subject.jelC32en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordAggregate mortalityen_US
dc.subject.keywordbusiness cycleen_US
dc.subject.keywordsocio-economic factorsen_US
dc.subject.keywordmultivariate modelen_US
dc.subject.stwSterblichkeiten_US
dc.subject.stwKonjunkturen_US
dc.subject.stwLifestyleen_US
dc.subject.stwMultivariate Analyseen_US
dc.subject.stwSchätzungen_US
dc.subject.stwDeutschlanden_US
dc.titleBeyond the business cycle: factors driving aggregate mortality ratesen_US
dc.type|aWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn56547071Xen_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-

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