Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/25188 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2007
Series/Report no.: 
SFB 649 Discussion Paper No. 2007,016
Publisher: 
Humboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk, Berlin
Abstract: 
This paper analyzes German and Spanish fiscal policy using simple policy rules. We choose Germany and Spain, as both are Member States in the European Monetary Union (EMU) and underwent considerable increases in public debt in the early 1990s.We focus on the question, how fiscal policy behaves under rising public debt ratios. It is found that both Germany and Spain generally exhibit a positive relationship between government revenues and debt. Using Markov-switching techniques, we show that both countries underwent a change in policy behavior in the light of rising debt/output ratios at the end of the 1990s. Interestingly, this change in policy behavior differs in its characteristics across the two countries and seems to be non-permanent in the case of Germany.
Subjects: 
Fiscal policy rules
public debt
euro area
fiscal consolidation
JEL: 
E62
E63
E65
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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