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Bonn Econ Discussion Papers, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE), Universität Bonn >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/22973
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| Title: | | Prominent Numbers and Ratios in Exchange Rate Determination: Field and Laboratory Evidence  |
| Authors: | | von Hagen, Jürgen Kube, Sebastian Kaiser, Johannes Selten, Reinhard Pope, Robin |
| Issue Date: | | 2006 |
| Series/Report no.: | | Bonn econ discussion papers 2006,29 |
| Abstract: | | In the decision-making process, there is a stage when choosers evaluate alternatives. Evaluation is complex especially when it involves the future exchange rate. In the complexity of predicting the future exchange rate, choosers may use prominent numbers and ratios. We furnish field and experimental evidence of major effects on exchange rate determination from prominent numbers and ratios that constitute nominal equalities and historical benchmarks. Theorizing and estimation of exchange rates can be enhanced via SKAT, the Stages of Knowledge Ahead Theory that allows prominent numbers and prominent ratios to be taken into account consistently in constructing decision models. |
| Subjects: | | nominalism money illusion unpredictability experiment SKAT the Stages of Knowledge Ahead Theory prominent numbers prominent ratios |
| JEL: | | D80 D81 F31 F33 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | Bonn Econ Discussion Papers, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE), Universität Bonn
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