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Title:On the Production of Victory: Empirical Determinants of Battlefield Success in Modern War PDF Logo
Authors:Rotte, Ralph
Schmidt, Christoph M.
Issue Date:2002
Series/Report no.:IZA Discussion paper series 491
Abstract:Using a data set of historical battles from 1600 to 1973, this paper analyzes the empirical determinants of tactical success in modern war. Based on a reduced form approach we consider key elements of military theory as factors in the production of combat success, formalized in a military production function. The paper focuses on the relationship of material and non-material factors to battlefield success, and especially on the role of superior force strengths. Contrary to the emphasis on technology which can be found in the recent literature, our estimation results indicate that numerical superiority has retained its crucial role for battlefield performance throughout history. In general, human elements of warfare, like leadership, morale and surprise, have continued to be important determinants of battle outcome despite technological progress in weapons.
Subjects:battlefield success
numerical superiority
technical progress
military technology
military production function
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:IZA Discussion Papers, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA)

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