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Title:Dynamic modeling of the SSDI application timing decision : the importance of policy variables PDF Logo
Authors:Burkhauser, Richard V.
Butler, J. S.
Gumus, Gulcin
Issue Date:2003
Series/Report no.:IZA Discussion paper series 942
Abstract:This paper analyzes the importance of policy variables in the context of Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) application timing decision. Previously, we explicitly modeled the optimal timing of SSDI application using dynamic structural models. We estimated these models using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). This paper uses option value model estimates to simulate application timing under alternative SSDI policy formulations. We consider changes in three policy variables: benefit levels, acceptance rates, and employer accommodation. Our simulations suggest all these changes would have substantial effects on expected spell lengths until application and on lifetime application rates, and hence on SSDI caseloads.
Subjects:Social Security Disability Insurance
Health and Retirement Survey
option value
JEL:H31
H55
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:IZA Discussion Papers, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA)

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