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Title:Tenure profiles and efficient separation in a stochastic productivity model PDF Logo
Authors:Buhai, I. Sebastian
Teulings, Coen N.
Issue Date:2006
Series/Report no.:CESifo working papers 1688
Abstract:This paper provides a new way of analyzing tenure profiles in wages, by modelling simultaneously the evolution of wages and the distribution of tenures. We develop a theoretical model based on efficient bargaining, where both log outside wage and log wage in the current job follow a random walk, as found empirically. This setting allows the application of real option theory. We derive the efficient separation rule. The model fits the observed distribution of job tenures well. Since we observe outside wages only at job start and job separation, our empirical analysis of within job wage growth is based on expected wage growth conditional on the outside wages at both dates. Our modelling allows testing of the efficient bargaining hypothesis. The model is estimated on the PSID.
Subjects:random productivity growth
efficient bargaining
job tenure
inverse gaussian
wage-tenure profiles
option theory
JEL:C51
C52
J63
Document Type:Working Paper
Appears in Collections:CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich

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