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ifo Institut – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München >
CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich >
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http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19010
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| Title: | | Trade and business cycle synchronization in OECD countries : a re-examination  |
| Authors: | | Inklaar, Robert Jong-A-Pin, Richard de Haan, Jakob |
| Issue Date: | | 2005 |
| Series/Report no.: | | CESifo working papers 1546 |
| Abstract: | | This paper re-examines the relationship between trade intensity and business cycle synchronization for 21 OECD countries during 1970-2003. Instead of using instrumental variables, we estimate a multivariate model including variables capturing specialisation, financial integration, and similarity of economic policies. We confirm that trade intensity affects business cycle synchronization, but the effect is much smaller than previously reported. Other factors in our model have a similar impact on business cycle synchronization as trade intensity. Finally, we find that the effect of trade on business cycle synchronisation is not driven by outliers and does not suffer from parameter heterogeneity. |
| Subjects: | | business cycles trade synchronization of business cycles |
| JEL: | | F42 E32 |
| Document Type: | | Working Paper |
| Appears in Collections: | | CESifo Working Papers, CESifo Group Munich
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