Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18984
Year of Publication: 
2005
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 1520
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a fundamental value. Then, we investigate the role of central bank interventions in explaining the switching properties between the two types of agents. We find evidence that in the medium run, interventions increase the proportion of fundamentalists and therefore exert some stabilizing influence on the exchange rate.
JEL: 
F31
F33
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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