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Title:On the Explosive Nature of Hyper-Inflation Data PDF Logo
Authors:Nielsen, Bent
Issue Date:2008
Citation:[Journal:] Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal [Volume:] 2 [Issue:] 2008-21 [Pages:] 1-29 [DOI/URN:] doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2008-21
Series/Report no.:Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 2008-21
Abstract:Empirical analyses of Cagan's money demand schedule for hyper-inflation have largely ignored the explosive nature of hyper-inflationary data. It is argued that this contributes to an (i) inability to model the data to the end of the hyper-inflation, and to (ii) discrepancies between 'estimated' and 'actual' inflation tax. Using data from the extreme Yugoslavian hyper-inflation it is shown that a linear analysis of levels of prices and money fails in addressing these issues even when the explosiveness is taken into account. The explanation is that log real money has random walk behaviour while the growth of log prices is explosive. A simple solution to these issues is found by replacing the conventional measure of inflation by the cost of holding money.
Subjects:Cost of holding money
co-explosiveness
co-integration
explosive processes
hyperinflation
JEL:C32
E41
Persistent Identifier of the first edition:doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2008-21
URL of the first edition:http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/journalarticles/2008-21
Creative Commons License:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/de/deed.en
Document Type:Article
Appears in Collections:Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal - Journal Articles

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