Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/17797 
Year of Publication: 
2002
Series/Report no.: 
Kiel Working Paper No. 1129
Publisher: 
Kiel Institute for World Economics (IfW), Kiel
Abstract: 
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and the nature of this decline have so far been analyzed mainly for the United States. In this paper, we analyze whether structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the case of the United States. In consequence, it is difficult to answer the question whether the decline in output volatility in Germany reflects good economic and monetary policy or merely ?good luck?.
Subjects: 
Business Cycle
Volatility
Germany
JEL: 
G15
E32
F47
F41
F36
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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