@techreport{Siliverstovs2008Climate,
abstract = {This study models maximum temperatures in Switzerland monitored in twelve locations using the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. The parameters of the GEV distribution are determined within a Bayesian framework. We find that the parameters of the underlying distribution underwent a substantial change in the beginning of the 1980s. This change is characterised by an increase both in the level and the variability. We assess the likelihood of a heat wave of the Summer of 2003 using the fitted GEV distribution by accounting for the presence of a structural break. The estimation results do suggest that the heat wave of 2003 appears not that statistically improbable event as it is generally accepted in the relevant literature.},
address = {Berlin},
author = {Boriss Siliverstovs and Rainald \"{O}tsch and Claudia Kemfert and Carlo Jaeger and Armin Haas and Hans Kremers},
copyright = {http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen},
keywords = {Q54; C11; 330; Climate change; GEV; Bayesian modelling; Great Alpine Heat Wave; Klimaver\"{a}nderung; Statistische Verteilung; Extremwertanalyse; Schweiz},
language = {eng},
number = {840},
publisher = {Deutsches Institut f\"{u}r Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)},
title = {Climate change and modelling of extreme temperatures in Switzerland},
type = {Discussion papers // German Institute for Economic Research},
url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363},
year = {2008}
}
