@techreport{Stephan2005Eurozone,
abstract = {We estimate the political economy determinants of budget deficit forecast errors.
Since the adoption of the Stability Pact, Eurozone governments have manipulated forecasts
before elections. The political orientation and the institutional design of governments also
affects the quality of forecasts.},
author = {Andreas Stephan and Tilman Br\"{u}ck},
copyright = {http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen},
keywords = {H87; E62; C23; H62; C53; 330; fiscal policy; budget deficit; forecast error; electoral cycles; Haushaltsdefizit; Prognose; Staatliche Information; Politischer Konjunkturzyklus; EU-Stabilit\"{a}tspakt; Deutschland},
language = {eng},
number = {2005,5},
title = {Do Eurozone Countries Cheat with their Budget Deficit Forecasts?},
type = {The Postgraduate Research Programme working paper series / Europa-Universit\"{a}t Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Graduiertenkolleg "Kapitalm\"{a}rkte und Finanzwirtschaft im erweiterten Europa"},
url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10419/22102},
year = {2005}
}
