@techreport{Antzoulatos2003Linear,
abstract = {Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist
predictable consumption surges which, if not taken sufficiently into account in
forecasting, may lead to predictable forecast errors. We use this insight to identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD?s forecasts for Germany?s consumption and GDP growth.},
author = {Angelos A. Antzoulatos and Bernd Wilfling},
copyright = {http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen},
keywords = {C53; E21; E37; 330; Consumption; GDP; macroeconomic forecasts; non-linear dynamics; Gesamtwirtschaftlicher Konsum; Prognoseverfahren; Statistischer Fehler; Einkommenshypothese; Nichtlineare dynamische Systeme; Sch\"{a}tzung; Theorie; Deutschland},
language = {eng},
number = {223},
title = {Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany},
type = {HWWA Discussion Paper},
url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19164},
year = {2003}
}
