@techreport{Plata2003Leading,
abstract = {Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from
recession for years the timing and severity of the recent currency
crisis has surprised most observers. This paper analyzes
whether the ?early warning? or ?signals? approach
of Kaminsky (1998), Kaminsky/Lizondo/Reinhart (1998)
and Kaminsky/Reinhart (1999) could have predicted the
Argentinean currency crisis at an earlier point in time. Using
a broad set of indicators, it is shown that the forecasting
quality of this approach was poor in the case of Argentina.},
address = {Berlin},
author = {Patricia Alvarez Plata and Mechthild Schrooten},
copyright = {http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen},
keywords = {F31; F47; 330; Currency Crisis; Early Warning Systems; W\"{a}hrungskrise; Wirtschaftsindikator; Fr\"{u}hwarnsystem; Argentinien},
language = {eng},
number = {327},
publisher = {Deutsches Institut f\"{u}r Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)},
title = {Mis-Leading Indicators? The Argentinean Currency Crisis},
type = {DIW-Diskussionspapiere},
url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18063},
year = {2003}
}
